Poker Odds Chart
Probability tables for Texas Hold'em
In Texas Hold'em there are 1,326 possible starting hand combinations and thousands of postflop situations. Knowing the key probabilities helps you make more informed decisions at the table.
This page brings together the most important probability tables for Texas Hold'em: from the chances of receiving a premium hand to the odds of completing a draw on the river.
1. Probability of being dealt starting hands
Out of 1,326 possible combinations, these are the probabilities of receiving the most relevant hands.
| Hand | Combos | Probability | 1 in every |
|---|---|---|---|
| Any pocket pair | 78 | 5.88% | 17 |
| AA | 6 | 0.45% | 221 |
| KK | 6 | 0.45% | 221 |
| QQ or better | 18 | 1.36% | 74 |
| AK (any suit) | 16 | 1.21% | 83 |
| AKs (suited) | 4 | 0.30% | 332 |
| Any suited hand | 312 | 23.5% | 4 |
| Suited connectors (76s, 87s...) | 52 | 3.92% | 26 |
Based on 1,326 possible combinations from a 52-card deck.
2. Probability of flopping certain hands
How often you connect with the flop based on your starting hand.
| Situation | Probability |
|---|---|
| Set with pocket pair | 11.8% |
| Two pair with unpaired hand | 2.0% |
| Top pair | ~29% |
| Flush draw | 10.9% |
| Open-ended straight draw (OESD) | 10.5% |
| Gutshot | ~16.5% |
3. Preflop equity of top hands
Win percentage for each hand against a random hand in a heads-up matchup.
| Hand | Equity vs random hand |
|---|---|
| AA | ~85% |
| KK | ~82% |
| ~80% | |
| JJ | ~77% |
| TT | ~75% |
| 99 | ~72% |
| AKs | ~67% |
| AKo | ~65% |
| AQs | ~66% |
Figures based on simulations of millions of hands.
4. Drawing odds
How often the most common draws complete, from flop to river (2 streets) and from turn to river (1 street).
| Draw | Outs | Flop to River | Turn to River |
|---|---|---|---|
| Flush draw | 9 | 35% | 19% |
| Open-ended straight draw | 8 | 31.5% | 17% |
| Two overcards | 6 | 24% | 13% |
| Gutshot | 4 | 16.5% | 9% |
| Flush draw + gutshot | 12 | ~45% | ~25% |
| Flush draw + OESD | 15 | ~54% | ~31% |
5. Outs and the Rule of 2 and 4
Outs are the remaining cards in the deck that can improve your hand. If you have four cards to a flush after the flop, there are 9 cards of that suit left: you have 9 outs to complete the flush.
The Rule of 2 and 4 lets you quickly estimate probabilities at the table without complex calculations:
On the flop (2 streets remaining)
Outs x 4
Example: 9 outs x 4 = ~36%
On the turn (1 street remaining)
Outs x 2
Example: 9 outs x 2 = ~18%
| Outs | Example | Flop to River (x4) | Turn to River (x2) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Backdoor | ~8% | ~4% |
| 4 | Gutshot | ~16% | ~8% |
| 6 | Two overcards | ~24% | ~12% |
| 8 | OESD | ~32% | ~16% |
| 9 | Flush draw | ~36% | ~18% |
| 12 | FD + gutshot | ~48% | ~24% |
| 15 | FD + OESD | ~54% | ~30% |